TGIF Blogcast: ADM Stavridis on Iran; Mayor Johnston; Kyle Clark on Marx

OMG: Blue Origin rocket (fortunately without any crew) exploded last night

Just One Thing: The end of the war?

I supported the war with Iran. Iran has been killing Americans (and others) for most of my lifetime. They were on a path toward a nuclear weapon and continued to terrorize the world through their proxies. They are the most evil regime in the world. But at this point the US has a serious problem: We appear to have started the war without a plan to control the Strait of Hormuz, which is Iran's only leverage. Now, despite all of Trump's moronic bluster, the US and Iran are functionally in a standoff. And when you're the world's superpower and you're fought to a draw by a much smaller (though not small) country, that sure looks and feels (including to our competitors and enemies) like a loss.

I continue to believe that Trump thought this operation would be just a little more difficult than taking out Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela. He thought the regime would capitulate and negotiate a settlement that basically left the US in charge of who gets to buy oil and generally had the countries "playing nice" with each other. That was never going to be the case. I don't know if his advisors told him it would be a relatively easy mission or if they gave him good advice which he chose to ignore.

But at this point, the terms of a proposed deal as they're being reported so far seem, if not quite like American surrender, not like Iranian surrender either. Indeed, it seems clear that Iran thinks they've basically won. If it plays out that way, if it's the latest and biggest Trump TACO, where Iran gets significant sanctions relief and doesn't give up their nuclear material, even folks like me who supported the war will wonder, "what was all that for?" Yes, I understand that Iran is far weaker than they were before the war. Their Navy is mostly gone, many of their weapons systems are gone. But they can and will rebuild and anyway they fought us to a draw in the ways that matter without those things.

U.S. and Iran Have ‘Makings of a Deal,’ Bessent Says - WSJ

I have more to say about what this means about and for Trump, but will save it for another day...

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Today's Guests

Mayor Mike Johnston joins the show at 7:34. The City Council just shared its 2027 budget goals with the mayor, and I want to get into where Denver's actually headed financially — and what the mayor makes of the broader downtown problem facing American cities. Jeana sent him the WSJ piece on the guy trying to repopulate America's emptiest downtown.

Denver City Council Shares 2027 Budget Goals with Mayor Johnston

Can This Guy Get People to Live in America's Emptiest Downtown?

Is Mike concerned about protecting the habitat of the Lizard People?: Denver airport's solution to train frustrations: $300 million of walkways through old baggage tunnels

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Admiral James Stavridis joins the show at 8:04. He's the former NATO Supreme Allied Commander, a best-selling author of both fiction and non-fiction, co-founder of the secretive but influential Two Dudes Consulting — and a connoisseur of fine whiskey. We're going to discuss his new novel, 2084, and what's going on with the Iran war. Is the tentative 60-day agreement a win? A surrender? Somewhere in between?

Home - Admiral James Stavridis

2084 (A Novel of Future War): Ackerman, Elliot, Stavridis USN, Admiral James

Live Updates: Tentative 60-day agreement reached on Iran, pending Trump's approval

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Kyle Clark, news anchor and host of Next! on 9News, joins the show at 8:34. Yesterday he aired an interview with Republican gubernatorial candidate Victor Marx that may be the first thing to really hurt Marx among Republicans, even among his supporters. Some of my listeners aren't Kyle's biggest fans — I bet a few think there's a bit of a demon in him, maybe more figuratively than literally — but I've got questions. Not counting when you were a child but only as an adult, how many people have you killed? What did you make of being invited to Marx's "compound," as he calls it? Was that a condition of doing the interview? It's the sort of thing I'd expect from someone making a weak attempt at manipulation or psychological dominance. And as Marx responded, he very frequently looked away from you, often over your head. Maybe that's just my bias talking — I think he exaggerates or lies a lot — but I took it as evasiveness. Did you notice it, and if so, how did you take it?

My Substack on the interview: Victor Marx implodes - by Ross Kaminsky - The Ross Report

The interview:

Other Stuff

Wait, he got away with this for how long?: Former CIA officer accused of stealing 300 gold bars

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Just what Trump needs…another war: US has the troops in place to attack Cuba - POLITICO

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Goodbye to a guy who genuinely defined a generation of Avs hockey: Claude Lemieux, a feisty winger for Avalanche, dies at 60

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One of the most interesting things here is how, contrary to what we were told early in all this crypto stuff, in many circumstances it really can be traced: How Online Sleuthing Helped Catch the 'Google Insider' on Polymarket - WSJ

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Governor Polis has been busy with the remaining bills from the legislative session. A couple of vetoes and a notable signature in the past two days: Colorado governor signs abortion medication, registration fee bills

This is one he signed:

HB26-1335 Abortion Medication Access on College Campuses (signed)

These are two he vetoed on Thursday:

HB26-1418 Online Add-on Transaction Fee Youth Serv Enter (vetoed)

HB26-1418 Veto Statement

HB26-1255 Social Media Duty to Report & Search Warrants (vetoed)

HB26-1255 Veto Statement

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So this guy is complaining about tariffs now: Messed-up tariffs are hurting the carmakers they're meant to help

But wait, was this you?: Trump's Tariff Critics Are Trading on Overblown and Unfounded Fears | The Heritage Foundation

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Amazing that I hadn't heard about this until now, and that the public still seems not to care. For the record, I think it's great: How one company plans to put a nuclear microreactor at Buckley - Axios Denver

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Fans love the relaxed outside-food policies. So do I, frankly: Baseball Stadiums Have Lax Outside Food Policies. Fans Love It. - The New York Times

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At some point even Trump supporters will get tired of him putting his name on everything and building monuments to himself: Trump $250 bill pushed by Treasury appointees - The Washington Post

Scott Bessent defends Donald Trump's face on $250 bill, pans Washington Post report

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A sad goodbye at the zoo: Denver Zoo says goodbye to beloved black rhino, Rudy

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The new-car market has lost a million buyers and they aren't coming back anytime soon. Affordability is the story: One Million New-Car Buyers Are Gone and They're Not Coming Back Soon - WSJ

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Today's Video

OMG...I can't believe she got through this with just some bruises.

Paraglider Sent Spiraling When Plane Crashes into Her Parachute Mid-Air


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