I'm going to keep today's blogcast short so I can spend a lot of time preparing the show and reading everything I need to read to talk about things beyond just the presidential election.
In a truly historic political comeback, Donald Trump will become only the second person in American history to win two non-consecutive presidential terms. Most or all of the swing states moved slightly but uniformly toward Trump giving him not only the first Republican win of the popular vote since 1988 but what may also turn into a large majority in the Electoral College. Republicans retook the Senate though it doesn’t look like as big a majority as it seemed last night as late-counted votes in blue states put Dems back in the lead there. The House is still up in the air but it appears the GOP might hold on to the slightest of leads. If so, Republicans will have full control of the federal government for two years. Let’s see what they do with it.
Moo Deng called it
Sources for Election results
Presidential map: 2024 Presidential Election Live Results - 270toWin
Interesting data on youth vote: The Youth Vote in 2024 | CIRCLE
Non-presidential:
US Senate: 2024 U.S. Senate Election - Live Results | RealClearPolitics
US House: 2024 U.S. House Election - Live Results | RealClearPolitics
Colorado (gov't website): Presidential Electors - Election Night Reporting
Colorado (Denver Post): Live Colorado election results 2024 for the US election
Denver (gov't website): Denver Election Results
Clearer info re Denver ballot measures: Denver ballot measures election results 2024 | FOX31
Arapahoe County: Election Night Reporting
Others:
Ohio Senate: Ohio Senate Election 2024 Live Results
Wisconsin Senate: Wisconsin Senate Election 2024 Live Results
Voters want to protect abortion, and don't want ranked-choice voting: 2024 Election Ballot Measures: Abortion, Immigration and More
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Today's Guest
Mick Mulvaney is a former Director of OMB and White House Chief of Staff in the Trump administration, former member of Congress representing South Carolina, and currently political and economic contributor at News Nation, where he seems to be having fun.
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Political advertising
I spoke with two friends just before the election and they both said that the Trump campaign's emphasis on opposing transgender biological males who identify as females competing against girls/women in sports wasn't important. I told them I thought they were wrong and this is a serious lightning rod issue. This morning on MSNBC, Morning Joe and others talked about ads like this as some of the most effective ads of the campaign.
Other Stuff
Just a few non-political topics:
How exactly is the US going to compete globally when we're producing snowflakes? Legos, Cocoa, and Coloring Books for Georgetown Students | The Free Press
Just pathetic: Rudy Giuliani’s apartment was emptied weeks ago, victims in defamation case say
My wife was just listening to an interesting audiobook about Alexander the Great so this headline is interestingly coincidental: Scientific breakthrough as Alexander the Great's lost tunic found after 2,300 years
Markets:
At least pre-market, the stock market LOVES a Trump victory. I think that is correct as long as Trump doesn't go crazy with tariffs.
Also, Bitcoin and Tesla are up big and "renewable" stocks such as suppliers of solar power and wind systems are getting crushed. That makes me happy.because the message isn't really "solar power sucks" (even though it kinda does) but rather "we're going to stop incinerating taxpayer money on a liberal fetish."
Premarket movers: DJT, MicroStrategy, Tesla surge while renewable stocks slump - MarketWatch
DJT stock is up, unsurprisingly. (That's the company that holds Trump's "Truth Social" social media platform.) Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance
The stock would need to end the week below 20 or above 58 for the people who were buying "straddles" in the option market to make money. As I write this on Wednesday morning, it hadn't moved as much as the market had anticipated but it's still early. (At 5:20 AM the stock is trading just below $47.
I owe you this from yesterday: Exclusive | Russia Suspected of Plotting to Send Incendiary Devices on U.S.-Bound Planes - WSJ
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Today's Video
Somehow I feel like our election was the national equivalent of this